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Nov 3, 2012
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we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have the polling data that showed they were going to win and they did not win in any of those states. this is just part of the way the game is played. it's just bluffing. and that is important context for understanding what's going on in the last four days of the campaign. there are patterns to how presidential elections end. some of the same stuff happens every four years. specifically, in 1992, the republican candidate was poppy bush. he went and campaigned in pennsylvania. and then the next day, he lost pennsylvania. the next election, 1996, bob dole. right before the election,
we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have...
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Nov 9, 2012
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his only winners of the night were dean heller, the incumbent appointed senator in nevada, and deb phish er fisher, up in nebraska. more than $100 million went to candidates who won versus those who lost. it turns out his rate of return, if you want to put this in business terms, was an anemic 1.29% return on the dollar in terms of winners and beating people he didn't like. he was asked about it, mr. adelson, on fox -- actually rove was on fox. >> yeah, look, if groups like crossroads were not active, this race would have been over a long time ago. president obama came out of the box on may 15th with $215 million of advertising over a 2 1/2 month period designed to demonize mitt romney. >> how is that for an argument? if it wasn't for his own money, romney would have been less competitive and would have lost earlier. how will that fly with the billionaires who put their money into this thing? michael isikoff knows about this stuff. he's national investigative correspondent for nbc news. john heilemann is with "new york magazine" and an msnbc political analyst. gentlemen, you're both pros
his only winners of the night were dean heller, the incumbent appointed senator in nevada, and deb phish er fisher, up in nebraska. more than $100 million went to candidates who won versus those who lost. it turns out his rate of return, if you want to put this in business terms, was an anemic 1.29% return on the dollar in terms of winners and beating people he didn't like. he was asked about it, mr. adelson, on fox -- actually rove was on fox. >> yeah, look, if groups like crossroads...
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Nov 28, 2012
11/12
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sometimes two or three at a time in foreclosure states like nevada and arizona. they're not your typical chinese who earn less than $5,000 a year. they're businessmen and communist party leaders. some looking for a high return. others a part-time residence and a stable future for their family. >> it's a sign of their status, you know. you can show off your friends or family that i can buy something overseas. but everybody can -- not everybody can do it. >> the chinese also get more bang for their buck here. $2 million in shanghai will get awe two bedroom condo. in tucson, you get four houses and more than a few acres. >> shepard: william lajeunesse in los angeles. communist newspaper overseas is honoring the north korean leader after an american publication named him the sexist man alive. of course, that american publication is the onion. the satirecal into am published an article off and oning over what it calls kim jong-un's handsome face and calling him a hunk who knows how to cut across and let his hair down. the onion named as previous honorees, siberian pre
sometimes two or three at a time in foreclosure states like nevada and arizona. they're not your typical chinese who earn less than $5,000 a year. they're businessmen and communist party leaders. some looking for a high return. others a part-time residence and a stable future for their family. >> it's a sign of their status, you know. you can show off your friends or family that i can buy something overseas. but everybody can -- not everybody can do it. >> the chinese also get more...
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Nov 11, 2012
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. >> they got shelly in nevada. >> that's unfortunate. >> they did not get what they thought they were be buying of. >> the biggest loser is carl rove -- karl rove. he would let them keep even more, a fairly bottom line decision. a lot of money was spent. ben bernanke was the second stimulus. the supreme court acted as the second stimulus, second only to the fed, because opening the door to that kind of private spending, the supreme court certainly did a lot for the economy. i look at their bottom line, it will be a disappointment. >> indiana and missouri are too easy, so i will go to minnesota. he ran the races with the chinese american actress on super bowl night. cake walk for stabenow. >> i would say joe biden. i think he's going to have a tough four years. i'll just leave it at that. on our side, i'd say that -- not continuing to learn. there was a lot of false security we had in our turn out operation. we stalled. i'd say that is a big loser. >> this has been a stimulating panel. we have a second panel that will start immediately. for those of you are c-span, www.laszlostrategies
. >> they got shelly in nevada. >> that's unfortunate. >> they did not get what they thought they were be buying of. >> the biggest loser is carl rove -- karl rove. he would let them keep even more, a fairly bottom line decision. a lot of money was spent. ben bernanke was the second stimulus. the supreme court acted as the second stimulus, second only to the fed, because opening the door to that kind of private spending, the supreme court certainly did a lot for the...
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Nov 3, 2012
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heidi high votes in nevada. what we're going to see in virginia for example there'll be some romney tim kaine democrat votes. there will be romney claire mccass tell votes in missouri. one thing you'll see there will be structural ticket splitting that will be pretty measurable in a lot of these senate races. that's something we haven't even well that will ager i think well for democrats. >> always a pleasure to speak with both of you. thank you. stay with msnbc for all day coverage of the home stretch to election day. craig melvin continues our live coverage this afternoon at 2:00 eastern followed by a saturday edition of the cycle, news nation with cameron hall and now with alex wagner. nothing to turn your channel for there. >>> well, federal and state officials are taking extreme measures to bring more fuel to the region. trucks are going to distribute free fuel. free that is across the region. and millions of gallons of fuel are now flowing into new york ports. even more is coming. we're going to have a lot
heidi high votes in nevada. what we're going to see in virginia for example there'll be some romney tim kaine democrat votes. there will be romney claire mccass tell votes in missouri. one thing you'll see there will be structural ticket splitting that will be pretty measurable in a lot of these senate races. that's something we haven't even well that will ager i think well for democrats. >> always a pleasure to speak with both of you. thank you. stay with msnbc for all day coverage of...
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Nov 5, 2012
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i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be spending a lot of good times. >> here it is. that's what we're missing here. new hampshire over to there. >> new hampshire. >> and then we have it. >> thank you so much, chuck. >> bye now. >> chuck and the magic map. up next, mayor antonio villaraigosa in florida today, and house majority leader eric cantor from virginia, live from democracy plaza only here on msnbc. [ female announcer ] the humana walmart-preferred rx plan p-d-p gives you a low national plan premium... so you can focus on what really matters. call humana at 1-800-808-4003. colin powell: yes. when he took ove
i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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in new mexico and in nevada and florida. he saw a community come forward and embrace him in his position, number one. plus, this president knows, it is the right thing to do. it is the right thing to do, to allow people to come out of the shadows. as democrats, we are going to allow everyone. one of our principles today that we made sure of. when we look at family, we look at same-sex marriage families as families too. we see those partnerships as valuable partnerships. we want a holistic approach. we are democrats. we are going to stand up for what's right and stand up for a country that is more inclusive and more respectful of everybody. >> congressman luis gutierrez, good to have you on "the ed show" tonight. >>> republicans think a night at the movies might get them set straight on some of the issues they are facing. i will show you how they have done this in the past. stay tuned. someone happy ♪ when you give a child a toy, it has to work. ♪ make just one someone happy and when it's a toys for tots child, well, what
in new mexico and in nevada and florida. he saw a community come forward and embrace him in his position, number one. plus, this president knows, it is the right thing to do. it is the right thing to do, to allow people to come out of the shadows. as democrats, we are going to allow everyone. one of our principles today that we made sure of. when we look at family, we look at same-sex marriage families as families too. we see those partnerships as valuable partnerships. we want a holistic...
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Nov 10, 2012
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another democrat was elected in nevada. the first time there is an african-american serving in congress from nevada. in district 3 in ohio, the second black woman in congress from ohio. in texas, district 33, and now texas has four black house members from texas. there are a couple of races that have not been called yet. one in arizona in the ninth district. there is a black republican candidate named vernon parker, who is running only a couple of thousand votes behind his opponent. all of the ballots have not been tallied and it is a possibility this person, he is behind by 2000 points but there's a possibility this person could be elected i do have to mention alan west. alan west right now is about 2300 votes behind his opponent. he is running in a different district and he ran in s. as you can tell by the results from florida, president obama's campaign made a big effort to turn out their voters, and i don't think president obama's voters were in fact going to vote for alan west while they were at the polls. alan west ma
another democrat was elected in nevada. the first time there is an african-american serving in congress from nevada. in district 3 in ohio, the second black woman in congress from ohio. in texas, district 33, and now texas has four black house members from texas. there are a couple of races that have not been called yet. one in arizona in the ninth district. there is a black republican candidate named vernon parker, who is running only a couple of thousand votes behind his opponent. all of the...
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Nov 7, 2012
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nevada and then heidi heightcamp, former state official in north dakota who's in a very close race. so that could end up being a sizable amount of women coming to the senate. >> two interesting house races. gwen, i'm not sure which house race you're talking about. betty sutton was beaten, renacy narrowly beats sutton. but two rather controversial-- i guess that's the right word too use-- republican members of the houses are in incredibly tight races right now. allen west in florida is trailing narrowly by about a thousand votes with just a couple percent not yet counted and michele bachmann is up by a margin like that, just a bare narrow lead in a very tight race in minnesota. so we're keeping an eye on that and if both of them were not in the house, i wonder whether that would change the tone of the entire body. i'm not sure. >> and bachmann's seat was redrawn to make it slightly more safe for republicans in redistricting. so that's interesting. we were surprised when we were looking at that, particularly given how much money and effort the republicans put into minnesota at the las
nevada and then heidi heightcamp, former state official in north dakota who's in a very close race. so that could end up being a sizable amount of women coming to the senate. >> two interesting house races. gwen, i'm not sure which house race you're talking about. betty sutton was beaten, renacy narrowly beats sutton. but two rather controversial-- i guess that's the right word too use-- republican members of the houses are in incredibly tight races right now. allen west in florida is...
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Nov 25, 2012
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. >> you were scheduled to return to nevada. why didn't you go back? what was it that made you make the poor choice to not return? >> i was already there for 16 months. it was only, like, a seven or eight-month program. it was my fault that i was there for 16 months. i was messing up when i first got there. i did complete every aspect of the program. sports, vocation, school, i completed everything. i asked when i was going to get released. i was told september 1st, and i just felt like that's -- september 1st, that's another 4 months away. i was like, i've already been here double the time you're supposed to be here, so that's why i ran. >> so why is it the program turned out to be double for you? >> because i wasn't working my program, your honor. i had an anger issue, and i just -- i couldn't control my anger. i couldn't control the things that i was doing. i was just snapping off. sometimes i wasn't taking my medication, and it just -- it caused a real problem for me. >> so you made the decision, then, that you weren't going to go back because you
. >> you were scheduled to return to nevada. why didn't you go back? what was it that made you make the poor choice to not return? >> i was already there for 16 months. it was only, like, a seven or eight-month program. it was my fault that i was there for 16 months. i was messing up when i first got there. i did complete every aspect of the program. sports, vocation, school, i completed everything. i asked when i was going to get released. i was told september 1st, and i just felt...
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Nov 5, 2012
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poll numbers we've been seeing, we're going to see that latinos are going to hold florida, virginia, nevada and colorado. what we are seeing is very high support for the president. so what we are seeing is about 74% of latinos saying they are either certain to or very likely to vote for the president and the worst case scenario, 64% of latinos are saying they are certain to vote for the president. is so with that, you are going to secure those states and don't forget, there is still a smattering of latinos in north carolina, wisconsin and iowa. 3%, 4%, but when it is so close, that 3% of mobilized latino turnout is going to make the difference. >> on, let's talk about pennsylvania because when we bring up close, pennsylvania right now, 47 to 47 in a state that normally, the president would have a comfortable lead in. stephanie cutter said on "morning joe" today that it's not realistic that governor romney should make a play for pennsylvania or even think about winning pennsylvania. what's your reaction to that? >> i'm glad they're giving governor romney advice because if he follows the advi
poll numbers we've been seeing, we're going to see that latinos are going to hold florida, virginia, nevada and colorado. what we are seeing is very high support for the president. so what we are seeing is about 74% of latinos saying they are either certain to or very likely to vote for the president and the worst case scenario, 64% of latinos are saying they are certain to vote for the president. is so with that, you are going to secure those states and don't forget, there is still a...
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Nov 11, 2012
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bush did so well in, colorado, iowas, your nevadas new mexico. romney did didn't play out there. >> to give you a sense of the magnitude, 8% of the hispanics in 2008 and 10% this year and romney's share went from, republican share went to 27 from 31. >> and the romney campaign thought they needed 37% of that hispanic vote for the numbers to win and they got 27%, the arithmetic on the latino vote is just brutal and obvious, they have to do something about that. >> paul: quickly? >> i want today make one more point about the type of campaign at that romney ran. focused on the economy and wanted to make the obama economy, but he woke up wednesday morning and probably saw an exit poll figure that had him devastated for people, 50% of the electorate still thought this economy was george w. bush's fault. it's astonishing. >> it's astonishing. >> and one of the failures, not making a distinction in the campaign, the theme explanation why he would be different than george w. bush. when we come back, the soul searching begins as republicans face another f
bush did so well in, colorado, iowas, your nevadas new mexico. romney did didn't play out there. >> to give you a sense of the magnitude, 8% of the hispanics in 2008 and 10% this year and romney's share went from, republican share went to 27 from 31. >> and the romney campaign thought they needed 37% of that hispanic vote for the numbers to win and they got 27%, the arithmetic on the latino vote is just brutal and obvious, they have to do something about that. >> paul:...
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Nov 29, 2012
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in new mexico and in nevada and florida. he saw a community come forward and embrace him in his position, number one. plus, this president knows, it is the right thing to do. it is the right thing to do, to allow people to come out of the shadows. as democrats, we are going to allow everyone. one of our principles today that we made sure of. when we look at family, we look at same-sex marriage families as families too. we see those partnerships as valuable partnerships. we want a holistic approach. we are democrats. we are going to stand up for what's right and stand up for a country that is more inclusive and more respectful of everybody. >> congressman luis gutierrez, good to have you on "the ed show qud tonight. it's that time of . time for citi price rewind. because your daughter really wants that pink castle thing. and you really don't want to pay more than you have to. only citi price rewind automatically searches for the lowest price. and if it finds one, you get refunded the difference. just use your citi card and re
in new mexico and in nevada and florida. he saw a community come forward and embrace him in his position, number one. plus, this president knows, it is the right thing to do. it is the right thing to do, to allow people to come out of the shadows. as democrats, we are going to allow everyone. one of our principles today that we made sure of. when we look at family, we look at same-sex marriage families as families too. we see those partnerships as valuable partnerships. we want a holistic...
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some would argue that michigan and nevada should have been leaning obama. we have a very close election. it will be decided on election night with a bunch of potential surprises. >>chris: you have a white board? karl: on the 3rd of november in 2008, president obama was at or above 50 percent in seven of the 13 battleground states that year. in the same states this year, same day, president obama is at 50 percent, not above 50 percent but 50 percent in two, wisconsin and nevada, and wisconsin, he is only at 50 percent because there is one poll that has an eight-point lead. we have gone from cruising to victory in 2008 to a tight, tight, tight race in 2012. >>chris: a last question, what do you make of romney going to pennsylvania and what do you make of obama with last minute ad buys in florida and virginia. who is serious? who is bluffing in. >> they are all serious. president obama has difficulty in florida and virginia, where the clear politics average goes to romney and pennsylvania is in play. if president obama was comfortable with pennsylvania he what
some would argue that michigan and nevada should have been leaning obama. we have a very close election. it will be decided on election night with a bunch of potential surprises. >>chris: you have a white board? karl: on the 3rd of november in 2008, president obama was at or above 50 percent in seven of the 13 battleground states that year. in the same states this year, same day, president obama is at 50 percent, not above 50 percent but 50 percent in two, wisconsin and nevada, and...
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we hope to get on john raulson out of nevada. this is interesting for many reasons, and i wanted to talk specific alally about nevada wh the foreclosures are high and unemployment rate is high. latinos in that state could help president obama win it in a significant way. let's see what we see in regarding the white vote and in a key state like nevada the latino vote being the difference. >> if everybody recalls the election of 2010, when reid was running against sharon inkeningle, all the polls showed engel was ahead by significant margins. what happened was at the end of the day when you looked at the scorecard, latinos went in favor to harry reid 9-10. that was because sharon engel's campaign was so egregious when it came to the latino votes. pollsters feel that la tyne notices won't turn out, and a lot of working class latinos are cell phones. this is the dreary part of polling. you often miss a big swath of potential when it comes to voting to the new voter, which is not only latinos but women and youth. what we're going to s
we hope to get on john raulson out of nevada. this is interesting for many reasons, and i wanted to talk specific alally about nevada wh the foreclosures are high and unemployment rate is high. latinos in that state could help president obama win it in a significant way. let's see what we see in regarding the white vote and in a key state like nevada the latino vote being the difference. >> if everybody recalls the election of 2010, when reid was running against sharon inkeningle, all the...
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nevada as well. very, very close. the republican incumbent, dean heller is slightly ahead of the democrat, shelley berkley. and this is a surprise, jon tester and denny rehberg were very, very close. >> call. house races as well. >> some very well known names. these are really squeakers. allen west was very well known. 50% to 50% for the democratic challenger. a little more than 2,000 votes separating them with 99% reporting. probably the most well known name when it comes to the tea party, michele bachmann is now neck in neck. fewer than 2,000 votes ahead of her democratic challenger. so this is pretty remarkable. >> with 85% reporting. so we want to talk with some tea party-backed congressmen who lost. and one was in illinois. joe walsh who was on television a lot. he lost to tammy duckworth, the democrat. and dan in new york. he won back his seat and he beat the candidate who beat him last time around. we are seeing some defeats of the tea party wave that we saw two years ago. >> appreciate it. thank you etch. >> l
nevada as well. very, very close. the republican incumbent, dean heller is slightly ahead of the democrat, shelley berkley. and this is a surprise, jon tester and denny rehberg were very, very close. >> call. house races as well. >> some very well known names. these are really squeakers. allen west was very well known. 50% to 50% for the democratic challenger. a little more than 2,000 votes separating them with 99% reporting. probably the most well known name when it comes to the...
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Nov 28, 2012
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the clerk: the senator from nevada, mr. reid, for mr. udall of colorado and others, proposes an amendment numbered 2985. strike section 313. mr. reid: i would ask further reading of the amendment be waived. the presiding officer: without objection. the presiding officer: the senator from michigan. mr. levin: i have two unanimous consent requests for committees to meet today during today's session of the senate. they have the approval of the majority and minority leaders, and i ask unanimous consent these requests be agreed to, that these requests be printed in the record. the presiding officer: without objection. mr. levin: madam president, i want to describe for the senate what we just did. it's a little different from what we sometimes do around here, which is we have long threats of filibusters on motions to proceed, then we finally -- often or sometimes reach unanimous consent agreements to proceed. what we did here -- and it was very deliberate -- was to proceed by motion, not by unanimous consent, to this bill so that if persons wh
the clerk: the senator from nevada, mr. reid, for mr. udall of colorado and others, proposes an amendment numbered 2985. strike section 313. mr. reid: i would ask further reading of the amendment be waived. the presiding officer: without objection. the presiding officer: the senator from michigan. mr. levin: i have two unanimous consent requests for committees to meet today during today's session of the senate. they have the approval of the majority and minority leaders, and i ask unanimous...
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the polls will be closing at 10:00 o'clock in nevada and montana, 10:00 o'clock eastern time, nevada is the home of leader harry reid, and dean heller in nevada as well. an appointed person to the sea, trying to hold onto that seat there from a strong challenge by congresswoman shelley berkley. that deal the one thank you very much. just about 30 seconds away from the next state closing. iowa, nevada, utah. lou: it looks like a night in which
the polls will be closing at 10:00 o'clock in nevada and montana, 10:00 o'clock eastern time, nevada is the home of leader harry reid, and dean heller in nevada as well. an appointed person to the sea, trying to hold onto that seat there from a strong challenge by congresswoman shelley berkley. that deal the one thank you very much. just about 30 seconds away from the next state closing. iowa, nevada, utah. lou: it looks like a night in which
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the rnc says it has learned of numerous cases in nevada. in a letter to electn officials rnc is asking nevada and five other states to recalibrate all machines. they have additional technicians. they are asking for that and to use signs and verbal reminders to make sure the ballots are correct. nevada secretary of state meantime says there is no evidence of this and calls the accusations irresponsible. >> we are learning new details about the new york city nanny accused of killing two little children in her care. according to the new york post y jocelyn or at theing ga telling cops was enraged as the the family asked they are to do housework to learn more money. she was unhappy about doing five extra hours each week. she woke up from a medically induced coma later this week she gave the statement. >> they turned away to helping the hurricane devastated state of new jersey because they are not union? workers from three companies say that their help was turned down by new jersey crews since they are not union employees. they are now going to
the rnc says it has learned of numerous cases in nevada. in a letter to electn officials rnc is asking nevada and five other states to recalibrate all machines. they have additional technicians. they are asking for that and to use signs and verbal reminders to make sure the ballots are correct. nevada secretary of state meantime says there is no evidence of this and calls the accusations irresponsible. >> we are learning new details about the new york city nanny accused of killing two...
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Nov 6, 2012
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you're in nevada. >> reporter: the mood and message differ from four years ago. hope and change now translate to stay the course, and finishing what the president started. volunteers say the work is harder this time. >> we have to do our homework and we have to know what the facts are, and to be able to share that with other people. >> tomorrow is election day. your vote is critical. >> reporter: volunteers used a different strategy. they focused on fellow republicans, reminding them to get out and vote tomorrow. >> as you call them, what's going to show up is the polling place number. >> reporter: they say they've also made calls to battleground states such as florida, ohio, and virginia. their target? republicans who don't always vote. >> it just reinforces them that somebody is out there trying to do something. that agree with the same things that they agree with. >> we have volunteers going out to the polling places. >> reporter: talking to voters about polling places tomorrow, statewide initiatives and local races. she says there is excitement that republica
you're in nevada. >> reporter: the mood and message differ from four years ago. hope and change now translate to stay the course, and finishing what the president started. volunteers say the work is harder this time. >> we have to do our homework and we have to know what the facts are, and to be able to share that with other people. >> tomorrow is election day. your vote is critical. >> reporter: volunteers used a different strategy. they focused on fellow republicans,...
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Nov 6, 2012
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haves terrible candidate in nevada, i'll go on a limb say and somebody asked me lost time to what would beat harry reid. it would take a -- that was my comment. and we ended up with a -- [inaudible] i'm not going to say. she couldn't win. she wasn't close at the end of the day. delaware the same, colorado the same. so it's not just ideology. it's finding presentable candidates that have coos appeal. we're not running the candidates in some of the state it's costing us the senate. >> it is ironic. he said he's not a member an organized political party. he's a democrat. but the democrats have actually done a better job in the last couple of election in erm it is of selecting the most electable candidates particularly for the senate. >> the republicans -- [inaudible] if you don't win election nothing else matters. and i i think we have people less interested in winning elections and making point. >> the other thing i want to ask is money. the top four senate races that received outside money, virginia, wisconsin, ohio, indiana. you can -- has moved the races an inch. they all stayed almost
haves terrible candidate in nevada, i'll go on a limb say and somebody asked me lost time to what would beat harry reid. it would take a -- that was my comment. and we ended up with a -- [inaudible] i'm not going to say. she couldn't win. she wasn't close at the end of the day. delaware the same, colorado the same. so it's not just ideology. it's finding presentable candidates that have coos appeal. we're not running the candidates in some of the state it's costing us the senate. >> it is...
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look at states like nevada. the white vote smaller, why? latino vote, nearly 20% of the vote in the state of nevada. the president gets 71%. can't win. you can't win. the on other side can't win. in colorado, much more of a white vote. 78%. and latinos, 14%. and the president getting 75%. let me shift walls, one more minute of your time. i want to show you this. nevada used to be a swing state in presidential politics, colorado used to be republican, and florida a swing state in presidential politics, if democrats keep getting 66%, 70% of the latino vote, watch this. the darker the area, the higher the latino population, so in navy, colorado, and new mexico, it's almost game over. in florida, still waiting for the final results. latino vote critical to the president's lead. and if the republicans don't solve this, we might be talking about texas as a blue state, anderson. >> wow. amazing to look at the maps like that. john, appreciate that. given that, how does the republican party evolve? what is next for them? someone on the extreme right
look at states like nevada. the white vote smaller, why? latino vote, nearly 20% of the vote in the state of nevada. the president gets 71%. can't win. you can't win. the on other side can't win. in colorado, much more of a white vote. 78%. and latinos, 14%. and the president getting 75%. let me shift walls, one more minute of your time. i want to show you this. nevada used to be a swing state in presidential politics, colorado used to be republican, and florida a swing state in presidential...
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florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, iowa, new hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground states. they are down confidence in the obama campaign and don't get too much dispute out of the romney campaign that they will win the state of nevada. then they come to the midwest where you are. they are most confident in the midwest they will carry again. i know republicans watching are saying they'll prove you wrong. they're confident about the state of iowa. that would get the president to 259. takes 270 win. when you ask them about these battleground states, they say they're most confidence about ohio, where you are. the president took that game over. no republicans w
florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, iowa, new hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground...
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in would argue that mash -- michigan and nevada should be leaning obama before last week. we have a very close election. and it is going to be decided on election night with -- with a bunch of potential surprises. >> chris: you have a white board. >> think about this. on the third of november, 2008, president obamma was at or above 50% in 7 of the 13 states that year. in those same state this is year, on same date, 4 years later, he is 50%, not above, but 50% in just two, wisconsin and nev dismef and wisconsin, he is only at 50% because there is 1 pole, an outliwer an 8-point lead. we have gone from cruise into victory in 2008, to a tight, tight, tight race in 2012. >> chris: lanlast question. what do you make of romney going to pennsylvania today? what do you make of obama with last-minute ad buys in florida and virginia? who's got in wind at the back? who is serious? hois bluffing? >> they are all serious and they are not bluffing. president obama has difficulty in florida and virginia two, states where the real clear politics average goes to romney. and pennsylvania has
in would argue that mash -- michigan and nevada should be leaning obama before last week. we have a very close election. and it is going to be decided on election night with -- with a bunch of potential surprises. >> chris: you have a white board. >> think about this. on the third of november, 2008, president obamma was at or above 50% in 7 of the 13 states that year. in those same state this is year, on same date, 4 years later, he is 50%, not above, but 50% in just two, wisconsin...
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nevada the ground game, harry reid's political machine, i think obama is going to win, nevada. >> greta: you are from wisconsin, john, and you were just there. >> i was. everywhere you go you meet people who voted for obama the last time and are going to vote for mitt romney this time around. you have a lot of people switching sides over there. the scott walker recall energized republicans and brought independents into the republican party who liked what scott walker was doing. there are couple of problems facing mitt romney. one is that the recall electorate that gave scott walker a 7 point margin of victory supported obama. there is still a problem there of 500,000 voters who came out in 2008 who didn't come out out in the recall. people think those are obama voters and if they come out that could spell bad news. >> greta: bart star now endorsed governor romney and in wisconsin he is a big deal. does is it have any impact? >> he is a big deal. but president obama had charles woodson the other day. if aaron rodgers had been there on the ground probably a 20 point holdout for mitt romne
nevada the ground game, harry reid's political machine, i think obama is going to win, nevada. >> greta: you are from wisconsin, john, and you were just there. >> i was. everywhere you go you meet people who voted for obama the last time and are going to vote for mitt romney this time around. you have a lot of people switching sides over there. the scott walker recall energized republicans and brought independents into the republican party who liked what scott walker was doing....